North Dakota Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Roy Musland a 29% chance of winning the North Dakota Senate 2018 primary. Scattered won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Roy Musland — 29% model odds
  2. Scattered — 12% model odds (won)
  3. Debbie Buechler — 12% model odds
  4. John Doe — 12% model odds
  5. Kelly Erlandson — 12% model odds
  6. Boyd, Jr. Jacobson — 12% model odds
  7. Charles Sullivan — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts