North Dakota House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kelly Armstrong a 20% chance of winning the North Dakota House 2018 primary. Kelly Armstrong won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Kelly Armstrong — 20% model odds (won)
2. Tom Campbell — 20% model odds
3. Tiffany Abentroth — 20% model odds
4. Paul J. Schaffner — 20% model odds
5. Scattered — 20% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts