North Dakota House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Scattered a 33% chance of winning the North Dakota House 2018 primary. Scattered won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Scattered — 33% model odds (won)
  2. Debbie Buechler — 13% model odds
  3. John Doe — 13% model odds
  4. Kelly Erlandson — 13% model odds
  5. Boyd, Jr. Jacobson — 13% model odds
  6. Doug Leier — 13% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts