North Carolina House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Alma Adams an 82% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2018 primary. Alma Adams won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Alma Adams — 82% model odds (won)
2. Keith Young — 6% model odds
3. Patrick Register — 6% model odds
4. Gabe Ortiz — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts