North Carolina House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Patrick Mchenry a 31% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2018 primary. Patrick Mchenry won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Patrick Mchenry — 31% model odds (won)
  2. Gina Collias — 14% model odds
  3. Jeff Gregory — 14% model odds
  4. Ira Roberts — 14% model odds
  5. Seth Blankenship — 14% model odds
  6. Albert Lee, Jr. Wiley — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts