North Carolina House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kyle Horton an 81% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2018 primary. Kyle Horton won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kyle Horton — 81% model odds (won)
  2. Grayson Parker — 19% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts