North Carolina House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Scerry Perry Whitlock a 61% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2018 primary. Barbara Howe won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Scerry Perry Whitlock — 61% model odds
  2. Barbara Howe — 39% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts