North Carolina House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Walter B. Jones a 53% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2018 primary. Walter B. Jones won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Walter B. Jones — 53% model odds (won)
2. Scott Dacey — 39% model odds
3. Phil Law — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts