Montana Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Matt Rosendale a 31% chance of winning the Montana Senate 2018 primary. Matt Rosendale won, matching the model's top pick.
- Matt Rosendale — 31% model odds (won)
- Jon Tester — 26% model odds
- Russ Fagg — 26% model odds
- Troy Downing — 5% model odds
- Albert Olszewski — 4% model odds
- Scattered — 2% model odds
- Steve Kelly — 2% model odds
- Timothy Adams — 2% model odds