Montana House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Greg Gianforte a 20% chance of winning the Montana House 2018 primary. Greg Gianforte won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Greg Gianforte — 20% model odds (won)
2. Scattered — 20% model odds
3. John Heenan — 20% model odds
4. Doug Campbell — 20% model odds
5. Scattered — 20% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts