Montana House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kathleen Williams a 21% chance of winning the Montana House 2018 primary. Kathleen Williams won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kathleen Williams — 21% model odds (won)
  2. Jared Pettinato — 21% model odds
  3. John Heenan — 12% model odds
  4. Grant Kier — 12% model odds
  5. Lynda Moss — 12% model odds
  6. John Meyer — 12% model odds
  7. Scattered — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts