Mississippi Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David Baria a 17% chance of winning the Mississippi Senate 2018 primary. Howard Sherman won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. David Baria — 17% model odds
2. Howard Sherman — 17% model odds (won)
3. Omeria Scott — 17% model odds
4. Victor G., Jr. Maurice — 17% model odds
5. Jerone Garland — 17% model odds
6. Jensen Bohren — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts