Mississippi House 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Katherine "Bitzi" Tate a 26% chance of winning the Mississippi House 2018 primary. Michael Guest won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Katherine "Bitzi" Tate — 26% model odds
- Michael Guest — 12% model odds (won)
- Whit Hughes — 12% model odds
- Perry Parker — 12% model odds
- Sally Doty — 12% model odds
- Morgan Dunn — 12% model odds
- Matthew Holland — 12% model odds