Missouri Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Josh Hawley a 48% chance of winning the Missouri Senate 2018 primary. Josh Hawley won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Josh Hawley — 48% model odds (won)
  2. Courtland Sykes — 18% model odds
  3. Brian G. Hagg — 6% model odds
  4. Tony Monetti — 3% model odds
  5. Austin Petersen — 3% model odds
  6. Kristi Nichols — 3% model odds
  7. Christina Smith — 3% model odds
  8. Ken Patterson — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts