Missouri House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Billy Long an 80% chance of winning the Missouri House 2018 primary. Billy Long won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Billy Long — 80% model odds (won)
  2. Lance Norris — 9% model odds
  3. Benjamin Holcomb — 9% model odds
  4. Jim Evans — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts