Missouri House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Vicky Hartzler a 69% chance of winning the Missouri House 2018 primary. Vicky Hartzler won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Vicky Hartzler — 69% model odds (won)
  2. John Webb — 31% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts