Missouri House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Hallie J. Thompson a 60% chance of winning the Missouri House 2018 primary. Renee Hoagenson won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Hallie J. Thompson — 60% model odds
2. Renee Hoagenson — 40% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts