Missouri House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ann Wagner a 65% chance of winning the Missouri House 2018 primary. Ann Wagner won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Ann Wagner — 65% model odds (won)
2. Noga Sachs — 18% model odds
3. David Justus Arnold — 18% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts