Missouri House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Cort Vanostran a 61% chance of winning the Missouri House 2018 primary. Cort Vanostran won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Cort Vanostran — 61% model odds (won)
  2. John Messmer — 18% model odds
  3. Mark J. Osmack — 7% model odds
  4. (William) Bill Haas — 7% model odds
  5. Robert W. Hazel — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts