Missouri House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lacy Clay a 55% chance of winning the Missouri House 2018 primary. Lacy Clay won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lacy Clay — 55% model odds (won)
  2. Cori Bush — 39% model odds
  3. Joshua Shipp — 5% model odds
  4. Demarco K. Davidson — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts