Minnesota Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Merrill Anderson a 25% chance of winning the Minnesota Senate 2018 primary. Jim Newberger won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Merrill Anderson — 25% model odds
- Jim Newberger — 11% model odds (won)
- Rae Hart Anderson — 11% model odds
- Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente — 11% model odds
- Paula M. Overby — 11% model odds
- Karin Housley — 11% model odds
- Bob Anderson — 11% model odds
- Nikolay Nikolayevich Bey — 11% model odds