Minnesota Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Amy Klobuchar a 9% chance of winning the Minnesota Senate 2018 primary. Amy Klobuchar won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Amy Klobuchar — 9% model odds (won)
2. Steve Carlson — 9% model odds
3. Stephen A. Emery — 9% model odds
4. David Robert Groves — 9% model odds
5. Leonard J. Richards — 9% model odds
6. Tina Smith — 9% model odds
7. Richard W. Painter — 9% model odds
8. Ali Chehem Ali — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts