Minnesota House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Joe Radinovich a 52% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2018 primary. Joe Radinovich won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Joe Radinovich — 52% model odds (won)
  2. Jason Metsa — 28% model odds
  3. Michelle D. Lee — 9% model odds
  4. Kirsten Kennedy — 5% model odds
  5. Soren Christian Sorensen — 3% model odds
  6. Ray Skip Sandman — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts