Minnesota House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jim Hagedorn a 49% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2018 primary. Jim Hagedorn won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jim Hagedorn — 49% model odds (won)
  2. Carla Nelson — 40% model odds
  3. Steve Williams — 6% model odds
  4. Andrew Candler — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts