Michigan House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brenda Jones a 47% chance of winning the Michigan House 2018 primary. Brenda Jones won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Brenda Jones — 47% model odds (won)
2. Kimberly Hill Knott — 25% model odds
3. Shanelle Jackson — 8% model odds
4. Coleman A., Ii Young — 6% model odds
5. Bill Wild — 5% model odds
6. Ian Conyers — 5% model odds
7. Kinniebrew Royce — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts