Michigan House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lena Epstein a 50% chance of winning the Michigan House 2018 primary. Lena Epstein won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Lena Epstein — 50% model odds (won)
2. Mike Kowall — 28% model odds
3. Klint Kesto — 13% model odds
4. Rocky Raczkowski — 4% model odds
5. Kerry Bentivolio — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts