Michigan House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Haley Stevens a 77% chance of winning the Michigan House 2018 primary. Haley Stevens won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Haley Stevens — 77% model odds (won)
2. Fayrouz Saad — 7% model odds
3. Tim Greimel — 5% model odds
4. Suneel Gupta — 5% model odds
5. Nancy Skinner — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts