Michigan House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michael Mccarthy a 59% chance of winning the Michigan House 2018 primary. Kimberly Bizon won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Michael Mccarthy — 59% model odds
  2. Kimberly Bizon — 36% model odds (won)
  3. Frank, Jr. Accavitti — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts