Michigan House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Matt Longjohn a 69% chance of winning the Michigan House 2018 primary. Matt Longjohn won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Matt Longjohn — 69% model odds (won)
  2. George Franklin — 19% model odds
  3. David Benac — 6% model odds
  4. Rich Eichholz — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts