Michigan House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jerry Hilliard a 71% chance of winning the Michigan House 2018 primary. Jerry Hilliard won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jerry Hilliard — 71% model odds (won)
  2. Zigmond A. Kozicki — 29% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts