Michigan House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave D. Etta Wilcoxon a 33% chance of winning the Michigan House 2018 primary. David Anthony Dudenhoefer won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. D. Etta Wilcoxon — 33% model odds
2. David Anthony Dudenhoefer — 33% model odds (won)
3. D. Etta Wilcoxon — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts