Maine House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jared F. Golden a 55% chance of winning the Maine House 2018 primary. Jared F. Golden won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jared F. Golden — 55% model odds (won)
2. Lucas R. St. Clair — 37% model odds
3. Craig R. Olson — 4% model odds
4. Jonathan S. # Fulford — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts