Maryland Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chris Chaffee a 16% chance of winning the Maryland Senate 2018 primary. Tony Cambell won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Chris Chaffee — 16% model odds
- Evan M. Cronhardt — 16% model odds
- Tony Cambell — 8% model odds (won)
- Christina J. Grigorian — 8% model odds
- John Graziani — 8% model odds
- Blaine Taylor — 8% model odds
- Gerald I., Jr. Smith — 8% model odds
- Brian Charles Vaeth — 8% model odds