Maryland Senate 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Marcia H. Morgan a 20% chance of winning the Maryland Senate 2018 primary. Ben Cardin won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Marcia H. Morgan — 20% model odds
- Ben Cardin — 11% model odds (won)
- Chelsea Manning — 11% model odds
- Jerome "Jerry" Segal — 11% model odds
- Debbie "Rica" Wilson — 11% model odds
- Lih Young — 11% model odds
- Richard "Rikki" Vaughn — 11% model odds
- Erik Jetmir — 11% model odds