Maryland House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jamie Raskin a 65% chance of winning the Maryland House 2018 primary. Jamie Raskin won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jamie Raskin — 65% model odds (won)
  2. Summer Spring — 17% model odds
  3. Utam Paul — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts