Maryland House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Richmond Davis a 52% chance of winning the Maryland House 2018 primary. Richmond Davis won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Richmond Davis — 52% model odds (won)
  2. Ray Bly — 31% model odds
  3. Michael Pearson — 8% model odds
  4. William T. Newton — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts