Maryland House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Elijah Cummings an 82% chance of winning the Maryland House 2018 primary. Elijah Cummings won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Elijah Cummings — 82% model odds (won)
2. Anthony, Sr. Carter — 5% model odds
3. Charles Stokes — 5% model odds
4. Charles U. Smith — 5% model odds
5. John Moser — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts