Maryland House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Amie Hoeber a 20% chance of winning the Maryland House 2018 primary. Amie Hoeber won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Amie Hoeber — 20% model odds (won)
  2. Lisa Lloyd — 20% model odds
  3. Kurt Elsasser — 20% model odds
  4. Bradley St. Rohrs — 20% model odds
  5. George Gluck — 20% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts