Maryland House 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Aruna Miller a 48% chance of winning the Maryland House 2018 primary. David Trone won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Aruna Miller — 48% model odds
- Roger Manno — 33% model odds
- David Trone — 5% model odds (won)
- Andrew Duck — 5% model odds
- Nadia Hashimi — 3% model odds
- Chris Graves — 3% model odds
- George English — 3% model odds
- Christopher Hearsey — 3% model odds