Maryland House 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Patrick J. Elder a 62% chance of winning the Maryland House 2018 primary. William A., Iii Devine won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Patrick J. Elder — 62% model odds
- William A., Iii Devine — 19% model odds (won)
- Johnny Rice — 19% model odds