Maryland House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Liz Matory a 55% chance of winning the Maryland House 2018 primary. Liz Matory won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Liz Matory — 55% model odds (won)
  2. Hubert, Jr. Owens — 23% model odds
  3. Mark Shell — 7% model odds
  4. Mitchell J., Jr. Toland — 7% model odds
  5. Guy Mimoun — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts