Maryland House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Andy Harris a 65% chance of winning the Maryland House 2018 primary. Andy Harris won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Andy Harris — 65% model odds (won)
  2. Martin Elborn — 18% model odds
  3. Lamont Taylor — 18% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts