Maryland House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jesse Colvin an 84% chance of winning the Maryland House 2018 primary. Jesse Colvin won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jesse Colvin — 84% model odds (won)
  2. Erik Lane — 5% model odds
  3. Michael Pullen — 3% model odds
  4. Allison Galbraith — 3% model odds
  5. Steve Worton — 3% model odds
  6. Michael Brown — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts