Massachusetts House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ayanna S. Pressley a 48% chance of winning the Massachusetts House 2018 primary. Ayanna S. Pressley won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Ayanna S. Pressley — 48% model odds (won)
2. Michael E. Capuano — 47% model odds
3. All Others — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts