Massachusetts House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Joseph P., Iii Kennedy a 68% chance of winning the Massachusetts House 2018 primary. Joseph P., Iii Kennedy won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Joseph P., Iii Kennedy — 68% model odds (won)
  2. All Others — 25% model odds
  3. Gary J. Rucinski — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts