Massachusetts House 2018 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Juana B. Matias a 26% chance of winning the Massachusetts House 2018 primary. Lori Loureiro Trahan won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Juana B. Matias — 26% model odds
- Lori Loureiro Trahan — 19% model odds (won)
- Rufus Gifford — 10% model odds
- Alexandra E. Chandler — 8% model odds
- Barbara A. L'Italien — 6% model odds
- Daniel Arrig Koh — 5% model odds
- Beej Das — 5% model odds
- Jeffrey D. Ballinger — 5% model odds