Massachusetts House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Richard E. Neal an 88% chance of winning the Massachusetts House 2018 primary. Richard E. Neal won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Richard E. Neal — 88% model odds (won)
2. All Others — 9% model odds
3. Tahirah Amatul-Wadud — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts