Kentucky House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Amy Mcgrath a 65% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2018 primary. Amy Mcgrath won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Amy Mcgrath — 65% model odds (won)
  2. Jim Gray — 24% model odds
  3. Daniel Kemph — 3% model odds
  4. Theodore David Green — 3% model odds
  5. Reggie Thomas — 2% model odds
  6. Geoffrey M. "Geoff" Young — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts