Kentucky House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Craven a 66% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2018 primary. Vickie Yates B. Glisson won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Mike Craven — 66% model odds
  2. Vickie Yates B. Glisson — 17% model odds (won)
  3. Rhonda R. Palazzo — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts