Kansas House 2018 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sharice Davids a 35% chance of winning the Kansas House 2018 primary. Sharice Davids won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sharice Davids — 35% model odds (won)
  2. Brent Welder — 34% model odds
  3. Tom Niermann — 25% model odds
  4. Mike Mccamon — 2% model odds
  5. Sylvia D. Williams — 2% model odds
  6. Jay Sidie — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts